Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006253 0.007265 0.008457 0.009985 0.011919 0.014324 0.017605
2025-04-13 0.004972 0.006214 0.007839 0.010192 0.013633 0.018703 0.027221
2025-04-20 0.004366 0.005738 0.007673 0.010741 0.015779 0.024375 0.042013
2025-04-27 0.003911 0.005337 0.007466 0.011095 0.017662 0.030444 0.062422
2025-05-04 0.003499 0.004909 0.007109 0.011078 0.018852 0.035816 0.087118
2025-05-11 0.003176 0.004562 0.006803 0.011051 0.019987 0.041724 0.121889
2025-05-18 0.002875 0.004204 0.006416 0.010775 0.020499 0.046474 0.162089
2025-05-25 0.002591 0.003839 0.005960 0.010266 0.020318 0.049279 0.201410
2025-06-01 0.002372 0.003558 0.005615 0.009912 0.020400 0.053042 0.259185
2025-06-08 0.002257 0.003442 0.005552 0.010130 0.022017 0.063378 0.415787
2025-06-15 0.002117 0.003268 0.005355 0.010019 0.022714 0.071045 0.614629
2025-06-22 0.001952 0.003034 0.005020 0.009533 0.022180 0.073142 0.771018
2025-06-29 0.001818 0.002857 0.004800 0.009338 0.022668 0.081809 1.267929
2025-07-06 0.001735 0.002767 0.004745 0.009539 0.024580 0.101509 3.293340
2025-07-13 0.001687 0.002736 0.004803 0.010041 0.027846 0.137745 22.220863
2025-07-20 0.001627 0.002677 0.004794 0.010364 0.030705 0.181465 5910.816761
2025-07-27 0.001548 0.002571 0.004671 0.010349 0.032215 0.220046 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001475 0.002473 0.004553 0.010324 0.033722 0.267980 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001395 0.002353 0.004371 0.010073 0.034053 0.303768 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001307 0.002213 0.004132 0.009608 0.033118 0.316155 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001236 0.002101 0.003948 0.009285 0.032805 0.342699 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001201 0.002062 0.003931 0.009484 0.035491 0.464523 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001152 0.001990 0.003826 0.009383 0.036440 0.559292 NaN